What is the I Ching? Three thousand years ago, an ancient scribe recorded the logic behind each decision-making process on bamboo slips/易經是什麼 · 3000 年前有個老闆，把每次拍板的邏輯刻在了竹簽上

What Is I-Ching? A Boss 3,000 Years Ago Carved His Decision Logic on Bamboo Sticks

How many chat groups on your phone? Work, family, food delivery, neighborhood HOA. Each one pings 30+ times a day. Every message is a micro-decision—reply now, reply how, or wait 30 minutes.

In 2026 you make more decisions daily than your grandfather did in a lifetime.

Then someone says: "Read the I-Ching, 3,000 years old. It helps you decide."

Your first thought: you're joking.

Most people think I-Ching is fortune-telling. It looks like one. It isn't.

The I-Ching is a decision framework the ancients built for themselves. What it does is identical to SWOT analysis or game theory in a modern MBA class—helping you find an actionable entry point when information is incomplete.

The only difference is form. MBA uses spreadsheets. I-Ching uses six bamboo sticks.

Ancients used sticks as a mirror—not for their face, but for what kind of situation they were in. The 64 hexagrams are 64 situation models. You don't memorize all 64. You just need to know which model you're currently inside.

(A confession) I thought I-Ching was fortune-telling too. In college I flipped two pages, saw "auspicious, inauspicious, regret, shame," and closed the book. Ten years of consulting later I realized those four words aren't about luck—they're four possible outcomes after a decision.

Auspicious = right call, smooth ahead.

Inauspicious = against the trend, you'll hit a wall.

Regret = small error, fixable.

Shame = small error, unfixable, will drag.

Four words. A decision review form. The product managers of 3,000 years ago were thorough.

Ray Dalio runs one of the world's largest hedge funds. He did something logically identical—wrote 200+ principles matching every market situation to a decision rule. He said: "If you don't write down your decision logic, you'll never know how you decide, and you'll never improve."

The I-Ching is the same thing, just carved on bamboo. Dalio wrote PDF. Ancients wrote line texts. Different tool, identical logic.

Next time someone says "I-Ching is superstition," ask: have you ever written down your decision logic and reviewed it?

Book a decision consultation—40 minutes, find your current situation model.

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開場 · 你手機裏有 47 個決策群

你手機裏有多少個群？

我猜有工作群、家庭群、外賣拼單群、社區業主群。每個群每天至少彈 30 條消息。每條消息背後都是一個微型決策——回不回、怎麼回、現在回還是等半小時。

2026 年了。你每天做的決策數量，大概是你爺爺那一輩子加起來還多。

然後有人跟你說：「去讀讀 3000 年前的《易經》吧，幫你做決定。」

你的第一反應大概率是：你在逗我。

反轉 · 易經不是算命書，是一本**決策操作手冊**

多數人以為易經是算命。

看起來是這樣。其實不是。

易經是古人給自己做決策用的框架。它幹的活兒，跟今天 MBA 課上講的 SWOT 分析、博弈論，本質一樣——幫你在資訊不充分的時候，找到一個可以動手的切入點。

區別只是工具形態。MBA 用表格。易經用六根竹簽。

古人拿六根小竹簽給自己照鏡子——不是照臉，是照「我現在的處境屬於哪種模式」。六十四卦就是 64 種處境模型。你不需要全背下來，你需要的是遇到事的時候知道自己在哪個模型裏。

（較真式自嘲）我一開始也以為易經是算命。大學時候翻了兩頁，看到「吉凶悔吝」四個字，直接合上書——這不就是"好運壞運"嘛。後來我做了十年決策諮詢才發現，那四個字不是在說運氣，是在說你做決策後的四種走向。

吉 = 決策對了，往前走順。

凶 = 決策反著趨勢來，會撞牆。

悔 = 小失誤，能改。

吝 = 小失誤，改不了，會拖。

四個字，一張決策複盤表。

3000 年前的產品經理，比我們想的周到。

跨界 · 橋水基金的達利歐也幹過同一件事

Ray Dalio（達利歐），橋水基金創始人，管理過 1500 億美元。

他做了一件跟寫《易經》邏輯上相同的事——把他做投資決策的每一個判斷標準，寫成了一套「原則」。

200 多條原則。每一條對應一種市場處境。

「通脹起來但增長放緩時，減配長期債券。」

「兩個核心員工同時提出離職時，先留那個動機更複雜的。」

聽起來很瘋狂——把決策寫成規則。

但達利歐說了一句大實話：「如果你不把自己的決策邏輯寫下來，你永遠不知道自己是怎麼做決定的，也就永遠沒法改進它。」

易經就是 3000 年前的達利歐幹的事——把決策邏輯刻在竹簽上，傳下來。

區別只是達利歐寫的是英文 PDF，古人寫的是爻辭。

工具不同，底層邏輯一模一樣。

收束 · 你不需要"信"它，你需要用它

下次有人跟你說「易經是封建迷信」。

你可以反問一句：你做過幾次決策後，把自己的判斷邏輯寫下來複盤過嗎？

沒有的話，你和 3000 年前那個沒寫決策筆記的老闆，區別只是你多了個手機。

我做決策諮詢，用的就是這套 64 種處境模型。不是幫你算命，是幫你看清楚你當前屬於哪一種處境。

 預約一次決策諮詢——40 分鐘，找到你當前的處境模型。